PEIinfo Logo
  Top Banner

Listings Coming Soon
 
Home
* FAQ
* Register

* Login 

Reset Password
Resend Activation Email

RSS Feed (New Posts)
RSS Feed (Replies)

Search
Lunch Specials

Lunch Sunday Brunch at Rodd Royalty for $16.95 [Remind Me]

All Day Special Jaeuck(Pork & Rice) at Seoul Food Restaurant(Cafe) for $9.87 [Remind Me]

All Day Special Hot Hamburger at Brits Fish and Chips for $9.95 [Remind Me]

All Day Special Chicken bokkeum at Seoul Food Restaurant(Cafe) for $10.98 [Remind Me]

All Day Special Dolsot Bibimbap at Seoul Food Restaurant(Cafe) for $11.98 [Remind Me]

Add your restaurant's special!
Follow @WhatsOnSpecial!
Island Weather [Customize]
Sponsor
Island Webcam [Customize]
Island Radio
  Listen to CBC 96.1 FM
Windows M. Player
Listen to Island Radio
Winamp
Listen to K-Rock
Windows M. Player
Listen to Ocean 100
Windows M. Player

All times are UTC - 4 hours



Post new topic Reply to topic  [ 7 posts ] 
Author Message
 Post subject: Latest CRA poll
PostPosted: December 8th, 2014, 11:17 am 
Offline
Site Admin (volunteer)
User avatar

Joined: November 1st, 2003, 7:55 am
Posts: 16903
Location: Brackley Beach PE / Lake Wales FL
Quote:
According to the most recent survey conducted by Corporate Research Associates Inc., the PEI Liberal Party has maintained its lead over other provincial parties despite the recent announcement that Robert Ghiz will be stepping down as Premier of Prince Edward Island. Specifically, one-half of residents support the Liberals this quarter (50%, compared with 48% in August 2014), while backing for the PCs stands at 23 percent (compared with 28%). Support for the NDP stands at 15 percent (compared with
16%), while support for the Green Party rests at 11 percent (compared with 7%). The number of Islanders who are undecided rests at 26 percent compared with 25%), while five percent refuse to state a preference (compared with 8%), and four percent either support none of the parties or do not plan to vote (compared with 5%).

With regards to government satisfaction, over one-half of PEI residents (54%, compared with 52% three months ago) are satisfied, while four in ten (39%, compared with 41%) are dissatisfied. The number of residents who do not offer a definite opinion stands at eight percent (compared with 6% three months ago).

Liberal leader Robert Ghiz’s personal popularity is stable this quarter (Premier Ghiz announced his resignation on November 13th while this survey was being conducted). Presently, four in ten residents (41%, compared with 36%) prefer Ghiz for Premier. Meanwhile, approximately one in seven Islanders (13%, compared with 14%) prefer Interim Leader Steven Myers of the PC Party, while under two in ten (17%, compared with 18%) back Mike Redmond of the NDP. Support for Peter Bevan-Baker of the Green Party stands at five percent (unchanged). One in ten (10%, compared with 9%) prefer none of these leaders, while one in seven (14%, compared with 17%) are undecided or do not offer an opinion.

These results are part of the CRA Atlantic Quarterly, an independent telephone survey of Atlantic Canadians, and are based on a sample of 300 adult Prince Edward Islanders, conducted from November 5 to November 25, 2014 with overall results accurate to within ± 5.7 percentage points, 95 out of 100 times.


Top
 Profile E-mail  
 
 Post subject: Re: Latest CRA poll
PostPosted: December 8th, 2014, 7:04 pm 
Offline
Almost an Islander

Joined: June 19th, 2013, 10:43 am
Posts: 450
Location: Cyberian wilderness
I think the poll would have meant something unusual is happening if the numbers were different. It shows that voters aren't ready to start considering a shift yet. It seem seems similar to approval ratings we've been getting fo some time now... at least the last six months.

Wait for two new leaders and an election campaign for a poll to be anything other than a sound-bite and a waste of money.

_________________
"Live by the sword, die by the sword".
- Jesus of Nazareth, Matt. 26:52


Top
 Profile E-mail  
 
 Post subject: Re: Latest CRA poll
PostPosted: December 8th, 2014, 7:22 pm 
Offline
Almost an Islander

Joined: November 16th, 2014, 12:56 am
Posts: 286
In real statistical terms these polls have a huge margin of error.
That being said the numbers have been consistent over the last 4 quarters.

Incumbents always do better in polling.
Depending on how the polls are worded they could be significant or not significant at all.
PEI politics is very very local. A poll that asks about popularity of the leader of the party for instance has very little relevance.


Top
 Profile E-mail  
 
 Post subject: Re: Latest CRA poll
PostPosted: December 9th, 2014, 12:06 am 
Offline
True Islander
User avatar

Joined: October 31st, 2003, 7:20 pm
Posts: 9920
with margin of error (previous):

liberals 45%-55% (48%)
conservatives 18%-28% (28%)
NDP 10%-20% (16%)
Greens 6%-16% (7%)

_________________
Image


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Latest CRA poll
PostPosted: December 9th, 2014, 7:04 am 
Offline
Member

Joined: November 12th, 2004, 8:55 am
Posts: 2160
Location: Islander
jmweb wrote:
with margin of error (previous):

liberals 45%-55% (48%)
conservatives 18%-28% (28%)
NDP 10%-20% (16%)
Greens 6%-16% (7%)


But over 1/3 (35%+/-5.7) don't know or don't care.


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Latest CRA poll
PostPosted: December 9th, 2014, 11:14 am 
Offline
Member

Joined: November 12th, 2004, 8:55 am
Posts: 2160
Location: Islander
jmweb wrote:
with margin of error (previous):

liberals 45%-55% (48%)
conservatives 18%-28% (28%)
NDP 10%-20% (16%)
Greens 6%-16% (7%)



The Guardian article says that the margin of error is higher due to the lower sample size.

Sorry I meant to specify:

The Guardian article says that the margin of error is higher than you have calculated, due to the lower sample size.


Last edited by alandla on December 9th, 2014, 12:05 pm, edited 1 time in total.

Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Latest CRA poll
PostPosted: December 9th, 2014, 11:30 am 
Offline
Member
User avatar

Joined: February 25th, 2013, 8:36 pm
Posts: 1526
alandla wrote:
jmweb wrote:
with margin of error (previous):

liberals 45%-55% (48%)
conservatives 18%-28% (28%)
NDP 10%-20% (16%)
Greens 6%-16% (7%)



The Guardian article says that the margin of error is higher due to the lower sample size.

I would also guess that the margin of error to be a lot higher because most people are sick and tired of this type of polling and either don't bother wasting their time or give the shortest possible answer to make this go away sooner than later.....also, a lot of the questions are so ambiguous that people sometimes give whatever answer pops in their head at the time.


Top
 Profile E-mail  
 
Display posts from previous:  Sort by  
Post new topic Reply to topic  [ 7 posts ] 

All times are UTC - 4 hours


Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest


You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum

Jump to:  
Powered by phpBB © 2000, 2002, 2005, 2007 phpBB Group